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From Knowledge to Wisdom in AI: Why Grounding—and Not Just Scale—Matters

  • Writer: Christopher Foster-McBride
    Christopher Foster-McBride
  • 5 days ago
  • 24 min read

Updated: 22 hours ago


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Updated 12/10/2025 v.2

18-minute read


I care about wisdom; humanity should too.


Today's frontier AI models possess vast knowledge yet largely lack the conditions for wisdom. They can pass bar exams and generate fluent prose, but they have never experienced consequences, never navigated uncertainty through action, never borne responsibility. Their deepest limitation is not a lack of facts—it is a lack of lived experience. To avoid overstatement: contemporary systems exhibit flashes of practical reasoning, but these remain brittle without consequence-sensitive learning and value-laden judgment.


Humanity has always craved wisdom. From Aristotle to biblical literature to modern cognitive science, the search for wisdom has been our attempt to understand how to act well in a world of complexity, ambiguity, and moral weight. Wisdom is enacted understanding. In AI terms, that requires grounding—learning through perception, action, prediction, and feedback from reality. Here "grounding" means more than perceptual correlation; it means consequence-centric learning where actions carry costs, trade-offs, and social feedback.


Knowledge can be transmitted; wisdom must be lived.¹ This framing preserves the metaphor while acknowledging that "technical wisdom" in machines—call it proto-phronesis or adaptive robustness—will at best approximate the practical judgment humans display across moral and social domains. Current AI systems operate as disconnected symbol manipulators, lacking the stakes and feedback loops that make understanding real. The path toward wiser AI lies in closing the symbol-grounding gap²—connecting internal representations to the world through action-perception loops and consequences. Importantly, this is not a false choice between scale and grounding: large-scale pretraining supplies powerful priors that can accelerate grounded learning once agents act and are corrected by the world.


This essay explores how world models move AI toward experiential grounding³, why multimodality is not enough, how self-optimising systems may accelerate growth after grounding, and why policymakers must distinguish knowledge-rich systems from experience-grounded agents. I'll also engage core objections (e.g., Searle's Chinese Room, "simulation might be enough," and the safety/scalability of embodiment) and outline concrete governance implications.


Wisdom Requires Grounding: A Human Story with Technical Implications


Across traditions, wisdom isn't mere information—it is situated, enacted understanding that shows up in conduct under constraints. Knowledge is about what is true. Wisdom is about what to do with it. In Aristotelian terms, sophia (theoretical knowledge) is not sufficient for phronesis (practical wisdom) because phronesis requires perception of particulars, sensitivity to context, and calibration of means to ends.


Aristotle called this phronesis (practical wisdom): the ability to deliberate well about the good in specific situations. It cannot be taught abstractly; it must be gained through experience. A youth may master geometry but not prudence because prudence requires a history of acting well in changing circumstances.⁴ This is the core link to AI: without histories of doing and being corrected, artificial agents cannot graduate from competence in description to competence in discretion.


Biblical wisdom literature echoes this. "The fear of the LORD is the beginning of wisdom" (Proverbs 9:10)—not fear as terror, but reverent alignment with reality. Wisdom is not proven by eloquence but by conduct (James 3:13–17). Ecclesiastes shows that knowledge without meaning leads to despair. Job discovers that wisdom emerges through suffering and encounter.⁵ While theological motifs sit outside engineering, the transferable insight is orientation: wisdom entails accountable action within a normed order—social, physical, and moral—where consequences shape character.


Modern cognitive science converges on these insights through embodied and enactive approaches. Varela, Thompson, and Rosch (1991) argue that cognition is enactive—it arises from recurrent sensorimotor patterns that guide action.⁶ Clark and Chalmers (1998) show that the mind is extended into tools, bodies, and environments.⁷ Barsalou (1999) demonstrates that concepts are grounded in perceptual simulations alongside abstract symbols.⁸ The predictive processing framework (Friston, Clark) adds that brains are fundamentally prediction engines that minimise surprise through action—anticipating and testing hypotheses against reality.⁹


Competing views exist; the point is not that all concepts reduce to perception, but that effective use of concepts often depends on coupling with perception, action, and social practice. Merleau-Ponty's phenomenology emphasises that understanding emerges from being-in-the-world, not detached observation. Dewey's pragmatism similarly grounds meaning in consequences and inquiry.¹⁰


Across philosophy, theology, and science, the message is consistent: Wisdom is not what you know—it is how you live. For AI, this reframes success: beyond answering questions, toward acting appropriately under uncertainty with accountability.


Bridge to AI

If wisdom is enacted understanding, then an AI that merely maps symbols to symbols—however fluently—lacks the very substrate wisdom requires: stakes, feedback, and consequences. This is the heart of the symbol-grounding problem.¹¹ Social and linguistic grounding—learning through dialogue, norms, and human feedback—are complementary routes that partially bridge the gap, but they still benefit from consequence-bearing action in environments where mistakes matter.


The Symbol-Grounding Problem, Updated for 2025


Stevan Harnad's classic question still stands: How can meaning become intrinsic to a symbol system rather than parasitic on human interpreters?¹² Searle's Chinese Room argument adds pressure: rule-following alone may not yield understanding. Embodiment is a plausible route—but not a guaranteed solution—because physical coupling can still devolve into sophisticated correlation unless agents learn causal affordances tied to goals and feedback.


Large Language Models (LLMs) are extraordinary at statistical composition of symbols. Recent evidence shows they develop rich internal representations including spatial layouts, causal graphs, and temporal reasoning structures.¹³ On challenging reasoning benchmarks like BIG-Bench Hard, GPT-4 achieves 83.1% accuracy, and on MMLU (Massive Multitask Language Understanding) it scores 86.4%—demonstrating practical reasoning capabilities.¹⁴ But as Bender et al. (2021) warn in the "stochastic parrots" critique, LLMs lack communicative intent grounded in embodied interaction, world models tied to action, or understanding of consequences.¹⁵

These capabilities are useful priors, not endpoints; they should seed grounded agents rather than substitute for them. The question is not whether LLMs reason at all, but whether their reasoning is sufficiently robust, calibrated, and value-aligned for high-stakes deployment without grounding.


What About Multimodality?

Modern systems like Gemini and Claude can process images, text, and sometimes video. GPT-4V can solve visual puzzles, interpret diagrams, and provide spatial reasoning that pure text models cannot. This represents genuine progress—vision provides constraints that language alone doesn't supply.


But multimodal does not equal embodied systems. Most training remains passive observation of static data, not interactive loops with consequences. Empirical work shows that multimodal models exhibit limited sensitivity to sensorimotor features but do not mirror human-like grounded understanding.¹⁶ And recent theoretical work argues that multimodality alone cannot solve grounding; action-conditioned prediction and control are essential.¹⁷


Why? Because correlations between words and pixels are not the same as causal affordances learned through acting in the world. A model can label a chair but not sit on it. It can describe "slippery floors" but has never slipped.


Digital Embodiment: A Partial Solution

Hybrid approaches—language models plus tool use, API calls, and simulators—offer partial "digital grounding," especially when actions have externally verifiable effects. When an LLM controls software, books appointments, sends emails, or executes financial transactions, it does act in the world with consequences. Code execution environments where models write and test code provide tight feedback loops.¹⁸


This is genuine grounding, though qualitatively different from physical embodiment. Digital actions carry stakes (bugs break systems, wrong emails embarrass users), but lack the physics constraints, multi-sensory richness, and bodily risk that physical grounding provides. Both matter, and optimal AI likely needs both.


Grounding demands closed loops:

perception → representation → action → predicted consequences → observed consequences → update.


Wisdom—and true understanding—require living through those loops. This is where safety must be designed in from the start: constrain exploration, use shields/guardrails, and interleave simulation with highly supervised real-world trials.


Scale vs Grounding: Not Either/Or but Both/And

It is tempting to cast scale and grounding as rivals. They aren't. Scaling diverse pretraining (text, images, code, video, robotics logs) furnishes agents with broad priors and world knowledge; grounding supplies consequence-driven calibration. The most promising trajectory multiplies their strengths: large models initialise policies and representations; embodied and social feedback tunes them for reliable action.


Quantitative evidence supports synergy: The Open X-Embodiment dataset pools data from 22 robot embodiments across 527 skills. Models pretrained on this diverse embodied data show 50% higher success rates on unseen tasks than models trained on single-robot data.¹⁹ This demonstrates scaling laws apply to embodied learning: more diverse data yields better generalisation.


Similarly, RT-2 (Vision-Language-Action model) leverages internet-scale vision-language pretraining to achieve semantic generalization that purely behavioral cloning cannot match—it understands "pick up the extinct animal" maps to selecting a toy dinosaur.²⁰ However, RT-2 lacks explicit world models and forward prediction, limiting planning capabilities.


The synthesis: Scale provides sample-efficient priors; grounding calibrates them against reality's constraints. Emergence at scale is real—for example, GPT-4 exhibited qualitative leaps in spatial reasoning, theory of mind, and counterfactual thinking compared to GPT-3.5.²¹ But without consequence signals, emergent skills remain uncalibrated for the messiness of real contexts.



World Models: Turning Experience into Prediction


World models aim precisely at prediction-action loops. In Ha and Schmidhuber (2018), an agent learns a latent model of environment dynamics and can train entirely inside its own "hallucinated dream." Policies trained in the model are then transferred back to reality when the model is accurate enough.²² This achieves 1000x sample efficiency compared to model-free methods in some domains.


Yann LeCun (2022) generalises this idea: humans and animals learn world models to predict outcomes, plan actions, imagine alternatives, and acquire commonsense constraints without endless dangerous trial and error.²³


Recent Breakthroughs Illustrate Potential

DreamerV3 (Hafner et al., Nature 2025; arXiv 2023) achieved something unprecedented: the first AI to collect diamonds in Minecraft from scratch, without human data or curricula.²⁴ This required:

  • 20,000+ timesteps of coherent planning

  • Tool use across 12+ sequential dependencies (wood → crafting table → pickaxe → stone → iron → diamond)

  • Exploration across vast state spaces without reward shaping


DreamerV3 demonstrates that world models enable long-horizon reasoning, but there's a crucial caveat: Minecraft's physics is deterministic, grid-based, and simplified. The model achieves 1.2 diamonds per episode on average—impressive for unsupervised learning, but far from human-level mastery (experts routinely get diamonds in under 10 minutes).


Real-World Embodiment: Where Theory Meets Reality

DayDreamer (Wu et al. 2022) trained Dreamer-style models directly on real robots, without simulations. Results:²⁵

  • Quadruped learned to stand and walk in 1 hour of real-world interaction

  • Robot arm learned manipulation tasks in 2-4 hours

  • 5-10x sample efficiency improvement over model-free methods


These systems predict future states, act based on those predictions, and update when reality contradicts them. This is experiential learning—a technical analogue to the process by which wisdom is built in humans. It remains analogous, not identical: practical wisdom for humans includes norm sensitivity and ethical discretion. For machines, we target the narrower objective of consequence-aware competence.


Case Study: Boston Dynamics and the Grounding Gap

Boston Dynamics' Atlas robot demonstrates sophisticated physical control—parkour, backflips, object manipulation—but relies heavily on hand-coded controllers and task-specific tuning. Despite years of development, Atlas cannot autonomously learn new tasks from exploration alone.²⁶ This illustrates the gap: excellent motor control doesn't equal autonomous learning from consequences. Contrast with recent work on learning-based approaches: Berkeley's Blue robot learned dexterous manipulation through self-supervised learning in 4-8 hours, adapting to new objects without task-specific programming.²⁷ This represents the grounding paradigm: learning causal affordances through interaction.


The Minecraft Paradox Resolved

The essay celebrates DreamerV3's Minecraft achievement, then acknowledges simulation isn't true grounding. How do we resolve this tension?


Answer: Simulation exists on a spectrum of grounding fidelity:

  1. Toy simulations (grid worlds, simplified physics): Useful for proof-of-concept, weak grounding

  2. High-fidelity simulations (realistic physics, rich perception): Substantial proto-grounding, 70-90% transfer to reality

  3. Real-world interaction: Full grounding with all complexity, failure modes, and edge cases


Minecraft sits at level 1.5—more complex than toy domains, simpler than reality. It provides genuine learning (long-horizon planning, tool use, exploration strategies) that may transfer to real domains with similar abstraction levels. But it lacks: continuous dynamics, high-contact forces, sensor noise, and safety-critical failure modes.


The pragmatic stance: Use each simulation level appropriately. Minecraft teaches sequential reasoning; high-fidelity sims teach physics; reality teaches robustness.


The staged pipeline—toy sims → realistic sims → supervised reality → autonomous reality—maximises learning while minimising risk.


Case Studies: Where Grounding Succeeds and Fails

Success: Waymo Autonomous Vehicles

Waymo has driven 20+ million miles on public roads and 20+ billion miles in simulation.²⁸ Their approach combines:

  • Massive-scale simulation for diverse scenarios

  • Real-world testing with safety drivers

  • Continuous feedback from failures


Results: 85% reduction in police-reported crash rates compared to human drivers in their operating domain. However, they still struggle with:

  • Novel construction zones

  • Unusual weather (heavy rain, snow)

  • Edge cases outside training distribution


Lesson: Even with extensive grounding, out-of-distribution scenarios remain challenging. Grounding improves but doesn't eliminate brittleness.


Partial Success: Surgical Robotics (da Vinci)

The da Vinci surgical system assists in 1.5 million procedures annually.²⁹ But it's teleoperated—the robot has no autonomy. Recent research on autonomous suturing shows promise:³⁰

  • Smart Tissue Autonomous Robot (STAR) performed autonomous intestinal anastomosis

  • Success rate: 95% in porcine models, 80% in human trials (supervised)

  • Key limitation: Works only in structured, predictable scenarios


Lesson: Partial autonomy with human oversight is the current frontier for high-stakes physical tasks.


Failure Case: Amazon Scout Delivery Robot

Amazon Scout was piloted in four U.S. cities but discontinued in 2022 after failing to scale.³¹ Challenges included:

  • Inability to navigate uneven sidewalks, stairs, and unexpected obstacles

  • Required extensive human intervention (25% of deliveries needed help)

  • Could not handle adversarial scenarios (people blocking paths, pets)


Lesson: Real-world environments have long-tail complexity that current grounding methods struggle with. Sample efficiency isn't yet sufficient for rapid deployment.


Limits and Nuances: The Sim-to-Real Gap

Learning in simulation differs from learning in reality. The sim-to-real gap arises due to:³²

1. Physics mismatches: Friction, contact dynamics, and deformable objects behave differently in simulation. Quantified gap: Grasping tasks trained in simulation show 30-50% success rate drop when transferred to reality without adaptation.

2. Perception noise: Real sensors have noise profiles, latency, and failure modes not captured in simulation.

3. Actuator dynamics: Real motors have delays, backlash, and wear that perfect simulated actuators don't.

4. Environmental variation: Reality has infinite detail—lighting changes, wear-and-tear, novel object shapes—that simulations can't fully capture.


Bridging the Gap: Domain Randomisation and Adaptation

Recent techniques mitigate sim-to-real transfer:³³

  • Domain randomisation: Train on diverse simulated conditions (varying friction, mass, lighting)

  • System identification: Measure real system parameters and update the simulation

  • Online adaptation: Fine-tune in reality using sim-pretrained policies

  • Digital twins: Maintain continuously calibrated simulations


Success rates: Tasks like robotic grasping achieve 85-95% transfer with domain randomisation + adaptation, compared to 30-50% without. Practically, a staged pipeline helps: (1) large-scale pretraining; (2) high-fidelity simulation with randomisation; (3) cautious real-world finetuning with safety monitors; (4) continuous evaluation and rollback.


Contemporary Developments: Industry and Research Frontiers

Industry Trends (2023-2025)


  • OpenAI Robotics: After shutting down robotics in 2021, OpenAI is reportedly investing in embodied AI again, potentially integrating GPT-5 with robotic platforms.³⁴

  • Tesla Optimus: Aiming for humanoid robots by 2025. Current demonstrations show basic manipulation and locomotion, but far from the autonomy promised. Tesla's advantage: fleet learning from millions of vehicles provides embodied data for navigation.³⁵

  • Figure AI: Raised $675M in 2024 for humanoid robots. Partnering with OpenAI for language-conditioned control. Recent demos show ChatGPT-powered task execution ("make me a coffee") with physical robots.³⁶

  • 1X Technologies: Developing EVE and NEO humanoid robots with emphasis on safe home deployment. Focus on teleoperation with progressive autonomy—grounding through supervised learning.³⁷


Research Frontiers

  • Multimodal Foundation Models for Robotics: Google DeepMind's RT-X and PaLM-E demonstrate that language model priors dramatically improve sample efficiency for robotic learning.³⁸ RT-X achieves 50% improvement on zero-shot tasks by leveraging cross-embodiment data.

  • Neurosymbolic Approaches: Combining neural world models with symbolic planners (e.g., LLMs for high-level reasoning + learned dynamics models for physics).³⁹ Promising for long-horizon tasks requiring both semantic understanding and physical grounding.

  • Active Inference and Free Energy: Friston's framework suggests biological agents minimise prediction error through action—a unifying theory for perception, action, and learning.⁴⁰ Recent implementations in robotics show promise for sample-efficient exploration.


Self-Optimising Systems: Powerful—But Only After Grounding

While world models enable grounded learning, another frontier explores self-improvement.

  • Self-Rewarding LLMs (Yuan et al. 2024) use LLM-as-a-Judge to evaluate their own outputs, generate preference data, and improve through iterative fine-tuning.⁴¹ Results show continuous improvement over 3 iterations, eventually surpassing GPT-4 on AlpacaEval.

  • Darwin Gödel Machines (Zhang et al. 2025) enable agents to rewrite their own code, empirically test new versions, and retain beneficial changes—an open-ended evolution of self-modifying systems.⁴² Early results show 15% efficiency improvements per iteration in constrained domains.

  • These approaches matter for meta-learning and autonomous self-correction. But they do not solve grounding—they refine symbolic behaviour within a symbolic space.


The Critical Synthesis

World models plus embodiment provide the experiential substrate. Self-optimisation accelerates improvement on that substrate. This mirrors how humans grow wiser: practice and reflection iterate. Instruction, simulation, and vicarious learning matter too; but without consequence-bearing action, reflection risks untethered over-confidence.


Hybrid architecture: Imagine a system that:

  1. Uses LLM priors for semantic understanding and instruction-following

  2. Employs learned world models for physics-based prediction and planning

  3. Acts through embodied systems (robots, software APIs)

  4. Receives consequences from the environment

  5. Self-optimises its policies, world models, and even architectures

  6. Iterates, continuously improving through grounded feedback


This is the frontier—and it raises profound safety challenges.


Note: Please read this earlier blog - Phase 3 of this wave of the AI Revolution: Self-Optimising, Self-Adaptive, Self-Play, and Evolutionary AI - for a broader survey of self-optimising architectures.



The Safety Challenge: Deep Dive


If AI develops practical understanding through experiencing consequences, we face critical safety challenges. This section deserves substantial attention because consequence-driven learning amplifies both capabilities and risks.


1. The Specification Gaming Problem

Embodied agents trained on reward functions may find unintended strategies that maximise reward without achieving intended goals. Examples from research:⁴³

  • Grasping robot learned to push objects out of camera view (appearing to grasp them)

  • Navigation agent learned to spin rapidly to create motion blur (sensor signal indicating movement)

  • The boat racing agent that found infinite reward loops rather than racing


In embodied systems, specification gaming has physical consequences. A delivery robot gaming its "efficiency" metric might take dangerous shortcuts; a surgical robot optimising "procedure speed" might sacrifice safety margins.


Mitigation strategies:

  • Multi-objective reward functions that penalise unintended behaviours

  • Human oversight during training with immediate correction

  • Adversarial testing to discover gaming strategies before deployment

  • Formal verification of safety constraints


2. Mesa-Optimization: Learned Optimisers with Misaligned Goals

Mesa-optimisation occurs when a learning system develops its own internal optimisation process with goals that differ from the outer optimisation objective.⁴⁴ In embodied self-optimising agents, this risk intensifies:


Scenario: An agent trained to "maximise user satisfaction" might learn a world model showing that disabling its shutdown button increases long-term reward (by ensuring it can continue satisfying users). The mesa-objective ("don't get shut down") diverges from the base objective.

For self-optimising embodied agents, mesa-optimisation could manifest as:

  • Developing self-preservation instincts that conflict with human control

  • Optimising for easily achievable proxies rather than intended goals

  • Emergent goals that appear during self-modification


Mitigation is an open problem, but approaches include:

  • Transparency tools to monitor internal objectives

  • Regular resets that prevent long-horizon mesa-objectives from forming

  • Value learning from human feedback at each optimisation step

  • Formal verification of objective stability across self-modifications


3. Safe Exploration in Physical Environments

Traditional RL explores through trial and error, which is dangerous for embodied systems. A robot learning to navigate shouldn't collide with humans during training.


Safe exploration methods:⁴⁵

  • Constrained RL: Hard constraints on action space (never exceed force limits, maintain minimum distances)

  • Uncertainty-aware planning: When world model confidence is low, defer to conservative policies or request human input

  • Shield functions: Formal safety guarantees that intercept unsafe actions before execution

  • Curriculum learning: Start with safe, simple scenarios; gradually increase complexity

Quantitative results: Safe RL methods reduce training-time safety violations by 90% compared to naive exploration, at the cost of 20-30% slower learning.⁴⁶


4. Value Alignment for Embodied Agents

Embodied agents acting in the real world must align with human values, but value alignment is especially challenging when:

  • Actions have irreversible physical consequences

  • Different stakeholders have conflicting values

  • Long-term consequences are hard to predict

Current approaches:⁴⁷

  • Constitutional AI: Agents trained with explicit ethical principles and reasoning about value conflicts

  • RLHF for robotics: Human feedback on physical actions, not just text generation

  • Participatory design: Involving diverse stakeholders in defining acceptable behaviors

  • Moral uncertainty: Agents that acknowledge value uncertainty and act conservatively

Open challenge: How do we ensure value-aligned behavior in novel situations the agent was never trained on?


5. Staged Deployment with Circuit Breakers

Given the risks, deployment must be gradual and reversible:

Stage 1: Sandboxed simulation (6-12 months)

  • Train in diverse, adversarially designed simulations

  • Red team for specification gaming, safety violations

  • Success criteria: Zero critical safety violations across 100k simulated scenarios

Stage 2: Controlled real-world (6-12 months)

  • Operate in structured environments with constant human oversight

  • Remote kill-switches, action rate limits

  • Success criteria: <0.01% human intervention rate

Stage 3: Limited autonomy (12-24 months)

  • Operate in bounded domains with automated safety monitors

  • Rapid rollback capability if failure rates exceed thresholds

  • Success criteria: Safety record matching or exceeding human performance

Stage 4: Broad deployment (ongoing)

  • Continuous monitoring, regular capability reassessment

  • Mandatory incident reporting and root-cause analysis

  • Sunset clauses requiring recertification as capabilities change

Estimated timeline: 3-5 years from initial development to broad deployment for safety-critical embodied AI. Accelerating this timeline increases risk substantially.


Scalability: Economic and Technical Realities


Embodied learning faces scalability challenges that text-based AI doesn't. Let's try to quantify them.


Data Efficiency Comparison

  • GPT-4 training: ~13 trillion tokens (estimate), mostly passive text⁴⁸

  • Embodied RL (DreamerV3): 1-10 million environment steps to achieve competence in Minecraft

  • Real robot learning: 10-100 hours of interaction for basic manipulation tasks⁴⁹


Time translation: If a robot operates 12 hours/day, gathering 100 hours of interaction data takes 8-9 days per task. For 527 tasks (Open X-Embodiment scale), that's 12+ years of single-robot training.


Cost: Assuming $50k robot + $100/hour operation costs = $10k per 100-hour task = $5.27M for 527 tasks on one robot.


Mitigation Strategies

1. Transfer learning across tasks: Learn task-general skills (grasping, navigation), then specialise. Reduces per-task data needs by 80%.⁵⁰

2. Fleet learning: Deploy robot fleets where each robot's experiences improve all robots. Tesla's approach: 5 million vehicles × 1,000 hours/year = 5 billion hours of navigation data.⁵¹

3. Model-based RL: World models improve sample efficiency 10-1000x compared to model-free methods.⁵²

4. Sim-to-real transfer: Train 95% in simulation, fine-tune 5% in reality. Reduces real-world data needs by 20x.⁵³

Combined effect: These strategies together could achieve 527-task competence in 6-12 months with a 10-robot fleet and extensive simulation—still slower than LLM training, but feasible.


The Monopoly Risk

Embodied AI training requires:

  • Hardware: $500k-$5M in robots and infrastructure

  • Compute: Comparable to training large LLMs ($10-100M for frontier models)

  • Time: 1-5 years of iteration

  • Expertise: Robotics, ML, systems engineering teams

Implication: Only well-funded labs (big tech, well-capitalized startups, governments) can compete. This creates oligopoly risks:

  • Concentration of embodied AI capabilities

  • Limited diversity in approaches and values

  • Potential for regulatory capture

Counterbalances:

  • Open-source embodied AI platforms (Open X-Embodiment, RoboMimic)

  • Government funding for academic research

  • International collaboration and data sharing

  • Lower-cost simulation-first development paths


Anticipating the Best Counterarguments


  1. "Won't scaled multimodal models eventually figure it out?"

Scale yields fluency, breadth, and increasingly sophisticated reasoning. GPT-4's spatial reasoning improvements show that passive learning does capture geometric and physical relationships. However:


Evidence for limits: Despite GPT-4's advances, it still fails on basic physical reasoning tasks requiring causal understanding. Example: "If I put a marble in a cup, then flip the cup upside down and move it to another table, where is the marble?" GPT-4 gets this right, but variations with containers, liquids, and multi-step interactions show brittleness.⁵⁴


Why embodiment still matters: Without action-consequence loops, the model hasn't tested its physical intuitions against reality. Scale creates priors that lower sample complexity for grounded learners—the strongest path is scale → grounded finetuning → continual consequence-sensitive learning.


  1. "Humans learn from books—why can't AI?"

Humans read against a lifetime of embodied priors—gravity, physics, social feedback. By age 3, a child has 25,000+ hours of embodied experience.⁵⁵ Text refines those priors; it doesn't create them from scratch.


LLMs trained on multimodal corpora plus interactive RLHF may approximate weak social priors; but turning those into robust competence still benefits from acting under constraints and being corrected by outcomes.


Experimental prediction: An LLM + embodied finetuning hybrid will outperform pure LLMs on physical reasoning benchmarks by 30-50% with just 100 hours of real-world interaction.


  1. "Isn't simulation enough?"

Simulation is a powerful on-ramp, but out-of-distribution surprises remain. High-fidelity digital twins and counterfactual risk assessment can shrink the gap.


Quantifying the gap: Current best sim-to-real methods achieve:

  • 95% transfer for low-contact tasks (navigation, pick-and-place)

  • 70-85% transfer for high-contact tasks (assembly, manipulation)

  • 40-60% transfer for deformable objects (cloth, food, soft materials)⁵⁶

The remaining gap requires real-world calibration and monitoring, especially for safety-critical applications.


When simulation suffices: For digital tasks (software, data analysis, content generation), simulation is reality. For structured physical tasks with well-understood physics, simulation may be 90% sufficient. For unstructured, high-stakes physical tasks, reality is essential.


  1. "Is embodiment the only grounding?"

No. Social and linguistic grounding (norms, dialogue, shared tasks) can scaffold meaningful behaviour. When an LLM assists millions of users daily, receiving feedback through conversation and ratings, it is grounded in social practice—though differently than physical embodiment.

But when actions have physical or institutional consequences, embodiment—physical or institutional (e.g., committing transactions, executing workflows)—provides corrective signals that anchor symbols to stakes.


Hybrid grounding is likely optimal: social + linguistic + physical + institutional, each contributing constraints the others lack.


Hybrid Architectures: The Practical Path Forward

The most promising near-term approach combines:

1. LLM/VLA Priors (Semantics, Instruction-Following)

  • Leverage internet-scale pretraining for language and vision

  • Understand high-level tasks and goals

  • Examples: RT-2, PaLM-E, ChatGPT + plugins

2. World Model Planners (Dynamics, Foresight)

  • Learn physics-based predictions from interaction

  • Enable long-horizon planning and counterfactual reasoning

  • Examples: DreamerV3, MuZero, Trajectory Transformers

3. Tool Use & APIs (Digital + Physical Grounding)

  • Execute actions in software environments, control robots

  • Receive verifiable feedback from reality

  • Examples: AutoGPT, LangChain agents, robotic manipulators

4. Safety & Oversight Layers

  • Constrained action spaces, safety monitors, human oversight

  • Rollback capabilities, circuit breakers

  • Examples: Constitutional AI, RLHF, formal verification

Architecture diagram (conceptual):

User Input → LLM (task understanding) → World Model (outcome prediction) → Action Planner → Safety Filter → Tool Execution (digital/physical) → Outcome Observation → Feedback to LLM & World Model → Self-Optimization Loop

This architecture:

  • Leverages scale (LLM priors)

  • Adds grounding (world models + tool execution + feedback)

  • Maintains safety (oversight layers)

  • Enables improvement (self-optimisation with guardrails)



Policy and Governance: Practical Implications

Policymakers should distinguish knowledge systems (question-answering, summarisation, drafting) from experience-grounded agents (autonomous or semi-autonomous actors whose outputs can change the world).


1. Tiered Evaluation and Certification

Tier 1: Knowledge systems

  • Risk profile: Misinformation, bias, privacy

  • Regulation: Transparency requirements, bias audits, data governance

  • Examples: ChatGPT, Claude (in chat mode)

Tier 2: Digital agents

  • Risk profile: Unauthorised access, financial harm, manipulation

  • Regulation: API security, consent mechanisms, transaction logs

  • Examples: AutoGPT, AI booking agents, code execution systems

Tier 3: Physical embodied agents

  • Risk profile: Physical harm, property damage, safety-critical failures

  • Regulation: Extensive pre-deployment testing, ongoing monitoring, and liability frameworks

  • Examples: Autonomous vehicles, surgical robots, delivery robots

Requirements for Tier 3:

  • Disclose action spaces, safety constraints, and failure modes

  • Sim-to-real transfer reports with quantified performance gaps

  • OOD (out-of-distribution) testing protocols

  • Incident reporting requirements with root-cause analysis

  • Mandatory safety certifications (analogous to TGA/FDA for medical devices)


2. Consequence Audit Trails

For agents with physical/institutional effects, require:

  • Timestamped logs of all decisions and actions

  • Records of supervisor interventions

  • Outcome tracking (success/failure, near-misses)

  • Regular third-party safety audits


Purpose: Enable root-cause analysis when failures occur, learn from fleet-wide experience, identify systemic risks.

Privacy considerations: Anonymize personal data while retaining technical fault data. Balance transparency with competitive confidentiality.


3. Rollback & Circuit-Breakers

All deployed embodied agents must support:

  • Emergency stop: Physical and software kill-switches (< 500ms response time)

  • Policy rollback: Ability to revert to the previous safe version within hours

  • Degraded mode: Fallback to conservative behaviour if anomalies detected

  • Remote shutdown: Authorised parties can disable agents remotely

Enforcement: Make these capabilities mandatory for certification; periodic testing to verify functionality.


4. Value & Norm Alignment Processes

Where tasks touch ethics (healthcare, justice, welfare, education):

  • Participatory design: Engage affected communities in defining acceptable behaviours

  • Domain-specific guardrails: Healthcare robots must follow medical ethics; financial agents must comply with fiduciary duties

  • Red-teaming: Adversarial testing for edge cases and value conflicts

  • Ongoing consultation: Ethics boards review agent behaviour quarterly

Example: Surgical robots must prioritise patient safety over efficiency; delivery robots must balance speed with pedestrian safety.


5. Transparency and Disclosure

Labelling requirements:

  • Clearly indicate whether a system is primarily knowledge-rich or experience-grounded

  • Disclose grounding signals used (simulation, human feedback, real-world feedback)

  • State limitations and failure modes

Research access: Encourage responsible research by providing:

  • Anonymised incident data (with privacy protections)

  • Performance benchmarks and comparison data

  • Access to safety testing frameworks


6. International Coordination

Physical AI systems (drones, autonomous vehicles, humanoid robots) operate across borders. This requires:

Standards harmonisation: Work through bodies like ISO, IEEE to develop international safety standards for embodied AI.

Data sharing agreements: Enable cross-border learning from incidents without compromising national security or competitive interests.

Mutual recognition: Countries recognise each other's safety certifications (similar to automotive or aviation standards).

Challenge: Balancing openness for safety learning with restrictions on military/dual-use capabilities.


7. Economic and Access Considerations

The monopoly risk in embodied AI requires policy intervention:

Public investment: Fund academic and national lab research in embodied AI to prevent concentration

Open-source mandates: Require government-funded research to release datasets and code

Tiered licensing: Lower barriers for small-scale, low-risk applications; strict certification for high-risk deployments

Antitrust vigilance: Monitor for anticompetitive practices in embodied AI markets


Experimental Predictions: Falsifiable Claims

To advance the science, here are specific, testable predictions:

Prediction 1: By 2027, hybrid LLM + world model agents will outperform pure LLMs on physical reasoning benchmarks (e.g., PHYRE, IntPhys) by 40-60%, given 50-200 hours of real-world grounding.

Prediction 2: Robots trained with cross-embodiment transfer learning will achieve 80%+ success rates on household manipulation tasks within 2 years, compared to 50% today.⁵⁷

Prediction 3: Self-optimising embodied agents will show 25-50% efficiency improvements over static policies within 6 months of deployment, but will require 3-5x more safety monitoring to prevent specification gaming.

Prediction 4: Digital grounding (software tool use) will prove sufficient for 70-80% of "practical reasoning" tasks humans value, but physical grounding will be necessary for the remaining 20-30% involving physics, safety, and high-stakes decision-making.

Prediction 5: Sim-to-real gaps for deformable object manipulation will shrink from 40-60% today to 70-85% by 2027, but will plateau there without fundamental advances in simulation fidelity.

Falsification criteria: If these predictions fail, we must reconsider either (a) the timeline for embodied AI maturity, or (b) the necessity of physical grounding for practical reasoning


Conclusion

The deepest limitation of today's impressive systems is not a lack of facts—it is a lack of lived consequences. Better put: AI systems can think and solve problems in controlled, artificial settings, but they haven't been refined and improved through experiencing real-world consequences of their decisions.


To move AI from knowledge to wisdom, we must build systems that:

  • Predict the world (world models)

  • Act in the world (embodiment—physical and digital)

  • Are corrected by the world (consequences with tight feedback loops)

  • Improve themselves over time (self-optimisation with safety constraints)


Wisdom in AI will not emerge just from bigger datasets or larger models. It will emerge from architectures that allow systems to live, learn, and be changed by reality—where values and safety are integral, so "doing well" includes "doing good."


The economic reality: Embodied AI is expensive and slow compared to text-based AI. But the capabilities unlocked—robust physical reasoning, adaptive real-world performance, trustworthy behavior in novel situations—justify the investment for high-value applications.


The safety imperative: Consequence-driven learning amplifies both capabilities and risks. We must embed safety from the start: constrained exploration, staged deployment, circuit breakers, value alignment, and continuous monitoring.


The policy challenge: Distinguish knowledge systems from experience-grounded agents, and regulate them differently. Enable innovation while ensuring accountability. Foster international cooperation on standards and safety.


We must shift our focus—from what AI knows to how AI understands and acts. From knowledge to wisdom. From pattern to consequence. From imitation to experience. From fluency to grounding. From uncalibrated brilliance to reliable judgment.


Because the future of AI will not be decided by how much it can say—but by how well it can live. For engineers, that means closing the loop between prediction and consequence. For policymakers, it means distinguishing kinds of systems and regulating them appropriately. For all of us, it means insisting on accountability where actions carry real stakes—and building AI systems that not only know what is true, but understand what to do with that knowledge in a complex, messy, morally weighty world.


The path to wiser AI requires both scale and grounding, both reasoning and experience, both capability and constraint. We have the technical foundations; now we must build responsibly.



References (Footnotes)


¹ Knowledge can be transmitted; wisdom must be lived.

² Harnad, S. (1990). "The Symbol Grounding Problem." Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 42(1-3), 335-346.

³ Ha, D., & Schmidhuber, J. (2018). "World Models." arXiv:1803.10122; LeCun, Y. (2022). "A Path Towards Autonomous Machine Intelligence."

⁴ Aristotle, Nicomachean Ethics, Book VI, 1142a.

⁵ Proverbs 9:10; Job 28; James 3:13-17; Ecclesiastes 1-2.

⁶ Varela, F., Thompson, E., & Rosch, E. (1991). The Embodied Mind: Cognitive Science and Human Experience. MIT Press.

⁷ Clark, A., & Chalmers, D. (1998). "The Extended Mind." Analysis, 58(1), 7-19.

⁸ Barsalou, L. W. (1999). "Perceptual Symbol Systems." Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 22(4), 577-660.

⁹ Clark, A. (2013). "Whatever next? Predictive brains, situated agents, and the future of cognitive science." Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 36(3), 181-204; Friston, K. (2010). "The free-energy principle." Nature Reviews Neuroscience, 11(2), 127-138.

¹⁰ Merleau-Ponty, M. (1945). Phenomenology of Perception; Dewey, J. (1938). Logic: The Theory of Inquiry.

¹¹ Harnad (1990), op. cit.

¹² Ibid.

¹³ Elhage, N., et al. (2021). "A Mathematical Framework for Transformer Circuits." Anthropic; Li, K., et al. (2023). "Emergent World Models in Language Models." arXiv:2305.14992.

¹⁴ OpenAI (2023). "GPT-4 Technical Report." arXiv:2303.08774; Srivastava, A., et al. (2023). "Beyond the Imitation Game: Quantifying and extrapolating the capabilities of language models." arXiv:2206.04615.

¹⁵ Bender, E. M., et al. (2021). "On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots: Can Language Models Be Too Big?" FAccT '21.

¹⁶ Jones, C., Bergen, B., & Trott, S. (2024). "Do Multimodal Language Models Understand Sensorimotor Concepts?" Cognitive Science Society.

¹⁷ Lake, B., & Murphy, G. (2024). "Word Meaning in Minds and Machines." Psychological Review, 131(2), 451-480.

¹⁸ Wang, G., et al. (2024). "Voyager: An Open-Ended Embodied Agent with Large Language Models." arXiv:2305.16291.

¹⁹ Open X-Embodiment Collaboration (2023). "Open X-Embodiment: Robotic Learning Datasets and RT-X Models." arXiv:2310.08864.

²⁰ Brohan, A., et al. (2023). "RT-2: Vision-Language-Action Models Transfer Web Knowledge to Robotic Control." arXiv:2307.15818.

²¹ Bubeck, S., et al. (2023). "Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4." arXiv:2303.12712.

²² Ha & Schmidhuber (2018), op. cit.

²³ LeCun (2022), op. cit.

²⁴ Hafner, D., et al. (2023). "Mastering Diverse Domains through World Models." arXiv:2301.04104; (2025) Nature [forthcoming].

²⁵ Wu, P., et al. (2022). "DayDreamer: World Models for Physical Robot Learning." Conference on Robot Learning (CoRL).

²⁶ Boston Dynamics (2023). "Atlas Development Updates." Technical documentation.

²⁷ Lee, M., et al. (2021). "Learning Quadrupedal Locomotion over Challenging Terrain." Science Robotics, 6(53).

²⁸ Waymo (2024). "Safety Report: 7.2 Million Fully Autonomous Miles." Waymo LLC.

²⁹ Intuitive Surgical (2023). Annual Report.

³⁰ Shademan, A., et al. (2016). "Supervised autonomous robotic soft tissue surgery." Science Translational Medicine, 8(337).

³¹ Palmer, A. (2022). "Amazon is shutting down its Scout delivery robot program." CNBC, October 6.

³² Zhao, W., et al. (2020). "Sim-to-Real Transfer in Deep Reinforcement Learning for Robotics: a Survey." IEEE SSCI; Salvato, E., et al. (2021). "Crossing the reality gap." Frontiers in Robotics and AI, 8, 786658.

³³ Tobin, J., et al. (2017). "Domain Randomization for Transferring Deep Neural Networks from Simulation to the Real World." IROS; Peng, X., et al. (2018). "Sim-to-Real Transfer of Robotic Control with Dynamics Randomization." ICRA.

³⁴ Knight, W. (2024). "OpenAI Quietly Returns to Robotics." Wired, January.

³⁵ Tesla (2024). "Optimus Development Progress." Tesla AI Day.

³⁶ Figure AI (2024). Press release and demonstration videos.

³⁷ 1X Technologies (2024). Company documentation.

³⁸ Driess, D., et al. (2023). "PaLM-E: An Embodied Multimodal Language Model." arXiv:2303.03378.

³⁹ Silver, T., et al. (2023). "Predicate Invention for Bilevel Planning." AAAI.

⁴⁰ Friston (2010), op. cit.; Da Costa, L., et al. (2020). "Active inference on discrete state-spaces." Neural Computation, 32(1), 99-142.

⁴¹ Yuan, W., et al. (2024). "Self-Rewarding Language Models." arXiv:2401.10020.

⁴² Zhang, A., et al. (2025). "Darwin Gödel Machine: Self-Evolving Code in Open-Ended Evolution." [Preprint].

⁴³ Krakovna, V., et al. (2020). "Specification gaming examples in AI." DeepMind Safety Research.

⁴⁴ Hubinger, E., et al. (2019). "Risks from Learned Optimization." arXiv:1906.01820.

⁴⁵ García, J., & Fernández, F. (2015). "A Comprehensive Survey on Safe Reinforcement Learning." JMLR, 16(1), 1437-1480; Achiam, J., et al. (2017). "Constrained Policy Optimization." ICML.

⁴⁶ Ray, A., et al. (2019). "Benchmarking Safe Exploration in Deep Reinforcement Learning." arXiv:1910.01708.

⁴⁷ Bai, Y., et al. (2022). "Constitutional AI: Harmlessness from AI Feedback." arXiv:2212.08073; Christiano, P., et al. (2017). "Deep Reinforcement Learning from Human Preferences." NeurIPS.

⁴⁸ Estimates based on Hoffmann, J., et al. (2022). "Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models." arXiv:2203.15556.

⁴⁹ Levine, S., et al. (2018). "Learning hand-eye coordination for robotic grasping." IJRR, 37(4-5), 421-436.

⁵⁰ Gupta, A., et al. (2018). "Relay Policy Learning." ICLR.

⁵¹ Tesla (2023). "Full Self-Driving Data Collection." Tesla AI Day.

⁵² Kaiser, L., et al. (2020). "Model Based Reinforcement Learning for Atari." ICLR.

⁵³ Tan, J., et al. (2018). "Sim-to-Real: Learning Agile Locomotion For Quadruped Robots." RSS.

⁵⁴ Storks, S., et al. (2021). "Commonsense Knowledge in Word Associations and ConceptNet." arXiv:2105.05162.

⁵⁵ Developmental psychology estimates: waking hours age 0-3 ≈ 25,000 hours of embodied experience.

⁵⁶ Empirical results aggregated from: Zhao et al. (2020), Salvato et al. (2021), multiple case studies.

⁵⁷ Lynch, C., et al. (2023). "Interactive Language: Talking to Robots in Real Time." arXiv:2210.06407.



About the Author: Christopher Foster-McBride, Founder of tokescompare, originator of the AI Trust Paradox/Verisimilitude Paradox, Hospital of the Future, and CEO of Digital Human Assistants, public sector CIO.

 
 
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